Article

Received 01.12.2021

Revised 19.03.2022

Accepted 22.04.2022

Retrieved from Vol. 26, No. 2, 2022

Pages 276 -285

Sukmanіuk, V. (2022). Risk modeling of public-private partnership projects. The National Transport University Bulletin, 26(2), 276-285. https://doi.org/10.33744/2308-6645-2022-2-52-276-285

Risk modeling of public-private partnership projects

Victoriiа Sukmanіuk

The object of the study is the existing theoretical approaches to risk assessment modeling. The purpose of the article is to systematize and generalize the existing risk assessment models for public-private partnership projects. The research method is monographic. Public-private partnership makes it possible to implement large socially significant projects that positively affect the socio-economic development of the region, increase the level of employment of the population, and ensure the provision of necessary services to society in the near future. At the same time, they are burdened with a higher level of risk than commercial projects. This is due both to the complexity of the tasks that the projects are aimed at, and the cost of the projects and the obligations assumed by its participants. The effective implementation of public-private partnership projects depends on whether critical risks are taken into account, whether measures are developed to reduce their destructive impact. The risks of PPP projects can be identified by a number of features: systematic occurrence; stages of project implementation; functions of the project management process; objects of project management; project resources The place of the general risk assessment in the process of risk management has been clarified. Based on the National Standard of Ukraine DSTU IES/ISO 31010:2013 (ІES/ISO 31010:2009,IDТ) «Risk management. General risk assessment methods» systematizes the existing risk modeling methods into three groups. Among them can be used: 1) for qualitative risk analysis; 2) for quantitative risk analysis; 3) how risk assessment models can be used: 1) only for qualitative risk analysis; 2) only for quantitative risk assessment; 3) simultaneously for qualitative and quantitative risk assessment. It is advisable to carry out subsequent studies taking into account the risks arising at specific stages of the implementation of the DPP project.

public-private partnership; risk; modeling; risk assessment; risk assessment methods; quantitative analysis; qualitative analysis
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https://doi.org/10.33744/2308-6645-2022-2-52-276-285